Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 23%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (22.7%)Double chance1X77.3%1.29
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.99 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
11.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapIBV Vestmannaeyjar winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win54%1.851.6753.2%+0.8 pp
Draw23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp
Thor Akureyri win23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 68.9%
Total expected goals2.99Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%
Away share of expected goals 31.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchIBV Vestmannaeyjar
LLDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchThor Akureyri
LLLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
23%1
Points from supplied form
42.06
Expected goals
0.93IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win 54%，Draw 23%，Thor Akureyri win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.99 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over。