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ISL IJsland - Úrvalsdeild karla · Wedstrijd ·

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.99 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst54%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst54% selection probability
Projected score2–1IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 23% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (22.7%)Dubbele Kans1X77.3%1.29
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.99 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapIBV Vestmannaeyjar winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win54%1.851.6753.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp
Thor Akureyri win23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar2.06

Thuis share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%

Thor Akureyri0.93

Uit share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Thor Akureyri

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
1
Points from supplied form
4
2.06
Expected goals
0.93
IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thor Akureyri signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IBV Vestmannaeyjar gewonnen 54%,Gelijkspel 23%,Thor Akureyri gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven