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LTU Lithuania II Lyga · Final ·

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II vs Vilnius Football Academy

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–4Forecast 2–4
Away form
Home win14%
Draw17%
Away win69%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win69% selection probability
Projected score2–4FK Neptunas Klaipeda IIVilnius Football Academy
Expected goals5.28Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over90% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes76% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
14% / 17% / 69%Match resultAway win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Neptunas Klaipeda II win (13.8%)Double chanceX286.2%1.16
Over 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Over90%1.11
Yes 76% · No 24%Both teams scoreYes76%1.32
5.28 total expected goalsCorrect score2–4
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapVilnius Football Academy winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Neptunas Klaipeda II win14%7.146.2514.2%-0.2 pp
Draw17%5.885.0017.7%-0.7 pp
Vilnius Football Academy win69%1.451.3068.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II1.50

Home share of expected goals 28.4%

Total expected goals5.28Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 90% · Under 10%

Vilnius Football Academy3.78

Away share of expected goals 71.6%

Projected score2–4BTTS splitYes 76% · No 24%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vilnius Football Academy

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Win probability excluding draw
69%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.50
Expected goals
3.78
FK Neptunas Klaipeda IIVilnius Football Academy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Neptunas Klaipeda II signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vilnius Football Academy signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II vs Vilnius Football Academy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–4 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II win 14%,Draw 17%,Vilnius Football Academy win 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.28 · Over 2.5 90% · Current selection Over