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LTU Lithuania II Lyga · Fixture ·

Banga Gargzdai II vs Nevezis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.02 expected goals
Away form
Home win25%
Draw23%
Away win52%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win52% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banga Gargzdai IINevezis
Expected goals2.02Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 23% / 52%Match resultAway win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.02 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapNevezis winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banga Gargzdai II win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Draw23%4.353.9022.8%+0.2 pp
Nevezis win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banga Gargzdai II0.83

Home share of expected goals 41.1%

Total expected goals2.02Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%

Nevezis1.19

Away share of expected goals 58.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai II

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nevezis

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Win probability excluding draw
52%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.83
Expected goals
1.19
Banga Gargzdai IINevezis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banga Gargzdai II signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nevezis signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Banga Gargzdai II vs Nevezis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banga Gargzdai II win 25%,Draw 23%,Nevezis win 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.02 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under