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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Meci ·

Banga Gargzdai II vs Nevezis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.02 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde25%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți52%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți52% selection probability
Projected score1–1Banga Gargzdai IINevezis
Expected goals2.02Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
25% / 23% / 52%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Șansă dublă1276.6%1.31
Peste 33% · Sub 67%Goals 2.5Sub67%1.49
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
2.02 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapNevezis winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Banga Gargzdai II win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Egal23%4.353.9022.8%+0.2 pp
Nevezis win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banga Gargzdai II0.83

Gazde share of expected goals 41.1%

Total expected goals2.02Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 33% · Sub 67%

Nevezis1.19

Oaspeți share of expected goals 58.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Banga Gargzdai II

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Nevezis

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Câștig probability excluding draw
52%
7
Points from supplied form
10
0.83
Expected goals
1.19
Banga Gargzdai IINevezis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banga Gargzdai II signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nevezis signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Banga Gargzdai II vs Nevezis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banga Gargzdai II câștig 25%,Egal 23%,Nevezis câștig 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.02 · Peste 2.5 33% · Current selection Sub