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PRT Portugal Segunda Liga · Final ·

FC Porto B vs SC Farense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–3Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win36%
Draw33%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Porto BSC Farense
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 33% / 31%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Farense win (31.4%)Double chance1X68.6%1.46
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
1.98 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Porto B win36%2.78
Draw33%3.03
SC Farense win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Porto B1.05

Home share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

SC Farense0.93

Away share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

SC Farense

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.05
Expected goals
0.93
FC Porto BSC Farense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Porto B signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

FC Porto B vs SC Farense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Porto B win 36%,Draw 33%,SC Farense win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under