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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Final ·

FC Porto B vs SC Farense

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–3Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg36%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg36% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Porto BSC Farense
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
36% / 33% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Farense win (31.4%)Doppelte Chance1X68.6%1.46
Über 32% · Unter 68%Goals 2.5Unter68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
1.98 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
FC Porto B win36%2.78
Unentschieden33%3.03
SC Farense win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Porto B1.05

Heim share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 32% · Unter 68%

SC Farense0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SC Farense

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.05
Expected goals
0.93
FC Porto BSC Farense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Porto B signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

FC Porto B vs SC Farense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Porto B Gewinn 36%,Unentschieden 33%,SC Farense Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Über 2.5 32% · Current selection Unter