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PRT Portugal Segunda Liga · Final ·

FC Porto B vs SC Farense

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–3Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier36%
Uavgjort33%
Borteseier31%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier36% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Porto BSC Farense
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
36% / 33% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Farense win (31.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X68.6%1.46
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 40% · Nei 60%Begge lag scorerNei60%1.67
1.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
FC Porto B win36%2.78
Uavgjort33%3.03
SC Farense win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Porto B1.05

Hjemme share of expected goals 53%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

SC Farense0.93

Borte share of expected goals 47%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nei 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

SC Farense

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.05
Expected goals
0.93
FC Porto BSC Farense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Porto B signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Farense signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

FC Porto B vs SC Farense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Porto B vunnet 36%,Uavgjort 33%,SC Farense vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under