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AUT Austria Regionalliga West · Fixture ·

Hohenems vs FC Lustenau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–24.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win67%
Draw19%
Away win14%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win67% selection probability
Projected score3–2HohenemsFC Lustenau
Expected goals4.63Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes75% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 19% / 14%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Lustenau win (14%)Double chance1X86%1.16
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 75% · No 25%Both teams scoreYes75%1.33
4.63 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapHohenems winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hohenems win67%1.491.3367.4%-0.4 pp
Draw19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
FC Lustenau win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hohenems3.08

Home share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals4.63Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

FC Lustenau1.55

Away share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 75% · No 25%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hohenems

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Lustenau

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
5
3.08
Expected goals
1.55
HohenemsFC Lustenau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hohenems signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Lustenau signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Hohenems vs FC Lustenau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hohenems win 67%,Draw 19%,FC Lustenau win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.63 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over