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AUT Österreich - Regionalliga West · Spiel ·

Hohenems vs FC Lustenau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–24.63 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg67%
Unentschieden19%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg67% selection probability
Projected score3–2HohenemsFC Lustenau
Expected goals4.63Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über84% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa75% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
67% / 19% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Lustenau win (14%)Doppelte Chance1X86%1.16
Über 84% · Unter 16%Goals 2.5Über84%1.19
Ja 75% · Nein 25%Beide Teams treffenJa75%1.33
4.63 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–2
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapHohenems winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hohenems win67%1.491.3367.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
FC Lustenau win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hohenems3.08

Heim share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals4.63Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 84% · Unter 16%

FC Lustenau1.55

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 75% · Nein 25%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Hohenems

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Lustenau

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
5
3.08
Expected goals
1.55
HohenemsFC Lustenau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hohenems signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Lustenau signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Hohenems vs FC Lustenau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hohenems Gewinn 67%,Unentschieden 19%,FC Lustenau Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.63 · Über 2.5 84% · Current selection Über