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AUT Austria 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw25%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC LieferingHertha Wels
Expected goals3.20Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 25% / 25%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapFC Liefering winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Liefering win51%1.961.8550.2%+0.8 pp
Draw25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp
Hertha Wels win25%4.003.7025.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Liefering1.98

Home share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals3.20Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Hertha Wels1.22

Away share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Liefering

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hertha Wels

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.22
FC LieferingHertha Wels
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Liefering signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha Wels signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Liefering win 51%,Draw 25%,Hertha Wels win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over