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AUT Österreich - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg25%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC LieferingHertha Wels
Expected goals3.20Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 25% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Doppelte Chance1275.4%1.33
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 61% · Nein 39%Beide Teams treffenJa61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapFC Liefering winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Liefering win51%1.961.8550.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp
Hertha Wels win25%4.003.7025.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Liefering1.98

Heim share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals3.20Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Hertha Wels1.22

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nein 39%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Liefering

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hertha Wels

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.22
FC LieferingHertha Wels
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Liefering signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha Wels signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Liefering Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 25%,Hertha Wels Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über