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AUT Austria 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier25%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC LieferingHertha Wels
Expected goals3.20Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 25% / 25%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dobbel sjanse1275.4%1.33
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 61% · Nei 39%Begge lag scorerJa61%1.64
3.20 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapFC Liefering winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Liefering win51%1.961.8550.2%+0.8 pp
Uavgjort25%4.003.7524.7%+0.3 pp
Hertha Wels win25%4.003.7025.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Liefering1.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 61.9%

Total expected goals3.20Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Hertha Wels1.22

Borte share of expected goals 38.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nei 39%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Liefering

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Hertha Wels

0.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poeng0

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
0
1.98
Expected goals
1.22
FC LieferingHertha Wels
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Liefering signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha Wels signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Liefering vs Hertha Wels FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Liefering vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 25%,Hertha Wels vunnet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over