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AUT Austria 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw22%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 22% / 15%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Vienna II win (14.9%)Double chance1X85.1%1.18
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Polten win63%1.591.4862.9%+0.1 pp
Draw22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp
FK Austria Vienna II win15%6.676.2514.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Polten1.57

Home share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

FK Austria Vienna II0.65

Away share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

St Polten

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Austria Vienna II

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
0.65
St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Polten signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Vienna II signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Polten win 63%,Draw 22%,FK Austria Vienna II win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under