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AUT Österrike - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger63%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger63% selection probability
Projected score2–1St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
63% / 22% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Vienna II win (14.9%)Dubbelchans1X85.1%1.18
Över 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Båda lagen gör målNej62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Polten win63%1.591.4862.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp
FK Austria Vienna II win15%6.676.2514.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Polten1.57

Hemma share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 38% · Under 62%

FK Austria Vienna II0.65

Borta share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

St Polten

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Austria Vienna II

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
0.65
St PoltenFK Austria Vienna II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Polten signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Vienna II signalBorta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

St Polten vs FK Austria Vienna II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Polten vunnen 63%,Oavgjort 22%,FK Austria Vienna II vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Över 2.5 38% · Current selection Under