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AUT Österrike - 2. Liga · Round 1 ·

SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger32%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score2–2SW BregenzSV Kapfenberg
Expected goals3.65Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 25% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dubbelchans1274.6%1.34
Över 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Över71%1.41
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Båda lagen gör målJa70%1.43
3.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
SW Bregenz win42%2.38
Oavgjort25%4.00
SV Kapfenberg win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SW Bregenz2.02

Hemma share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.65Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 71% · Under 29%

SV Kapfenberg1.63

Borta share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

SW Bregenz

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

SV Kapfenberg

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
6
2.02
Expected goals
1.63
SW BregenzSV Kapfenberg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SW Bregenz signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Kapfenberg signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SW Bregenz vs SV Kapfenberg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SW Bregenz vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 25%,SV Kapfenberg vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Över 2.5 71% · Current selection Över