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AUT Австрия - Лига 2 · Round 1 ·

Санкт-Пёльтен vs ФК Аустрия Вена II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев63%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Санкт-ПёльтенФК Аустрия Вена II
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
63% / 22% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Аустрия Вена II win (14.9%)Двойной шанс1X85.1%1.18
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Санкт-Пёльтен win63%1.591.4862.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья22%4.554.2022.2%-0.2 pp
ФК Аустрия Вена II win15%6.676.2514.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Санкт-Пёльтен1.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.7%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

ФК Аустрия Вена II0.65

Гости share of expected goals 29.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Санкт-Пёльтен

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Аустрия Вена II

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
0.65
Санкт-ПёльтенФК Аустрия Вена II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Санкт-Пёльтен signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Аустрия Вена II signalГости failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Санкт-Пёльтен vs ФК Аустрия Вена II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Санкт-Пёльтен выигрыш 63%,Ничья 22%,ФК Аустрия Вена II выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше