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ROU Romania Liga I · Fixture ·

Farul Constanta vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw28%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Farul ConstantaFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 28% / 21%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Farul Constanta win50%2.00
Draw28%3.57
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Farul Constanta1.64

Home share of expected goals 68.6%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc0.75

Away share of expected goals 31.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Farul Constanta

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.64
Expected goals
0.75
Farul ConstantaFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Farul Constanta signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc signalAway failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Farul Constanta vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Farul Constanta win 50%,Draw 28%,FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under