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ROU Румыния - Лига I · Матч ·

Фарул Констанца vs ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Фарул КонстанцаФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 23% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук win (17.1%)Двойной шанс1X82.9%1.21
Больше 43% · Меньше 57%Goals 2.5Меньше57%1.75
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.41 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapФарул Констанца winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фарул Констанца win60%1.671.5059.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фарул Констанца1.65

Хозяева share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 43% · Меньше 57%

ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук0.76

Гости share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фарул Констанца

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalГости failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.65
Expected goals
0.76
Фарул КонстанцаФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фарул Констанца signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук signalГости failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Фарул Констанца vs ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фарул Констанца выигрыш 60%,Ничья 23%,ФК Ксиксзереда Меркуря-Чук выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · ТБ 2.5 43% · Current selection Меньше