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COL Colombia Primera B · Fixture ·

Deportes Quindio vs Internacional FC de Palmira

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw31%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportes QuindioInternacional FC de Palmira
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 31% / 28%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional FC de Palmira win (27.7%)Double chance1X72.3%1.38
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.03 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDeportes Quindio winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Quindio win42%2.382.1541.4%+0.6 pp
Draw31%3.232.9030.7%+0.3 pp
Internacional FC de Palmira win28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Quindio1.17

Home share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%

Internacional FC de Palmira0.86

Away share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportes Quindio

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Internacional FC de Palmira

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.17
Expected goals
0.86
Deportes QuindioInternacional FC de Palmira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Quindio signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional FC de Palmira signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportes Quindio vs Internacional FC de Palmira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Quindio win 42%,Draw 31%,Internacional FC de Palmira win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under