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CHN China Division 2 · Fixture ·

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–01.00 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw42%
Away win18%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw42% selection probability
Projected score1–0Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Expected goals1.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under92% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo87% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 42% / 18%Match resultDraw42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win (18.4%)Double chance1X81.6%1.23
Over 8% · Under 92%Goals 2.5Under92%1.09
Yes 13% · No 87%Both teams scoreNo87%1.15
1.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Dalian Kewei win40%2.50
Draw42%2.38
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dalian Kewei0.71

Home share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals1.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 8% · Under 92%

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.29

Away share of expected goals 29%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 13% · No 87%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Dalian Kewei

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
0.29
Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dalian Kewei signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 42%.

Match questions

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–0 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dalian Kewei win 40%,Draw 42%,Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.00 · Over 2.5 8% · Current selection Under