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CHN China Division 2 · Match ·

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–01.00 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort42%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastOavgjortTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callOavgjort42% selection probability
Projected score1–0Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Expected goals1.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under92% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej87% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 42% / 18%MatchresultatOavgjort42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win (18.4%)Dubbelchans1X81.6%1.23
Över 8% · Under 92%Goals 2.5Under92%1.09
Ja 13% · Nej 87%Båda lagen gör målNej87%1.15
1.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–0
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Dalian Kewei win40%2.50
Oavgjort42%2.38
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dalian Kewei0.71

Hemma share of expected goals 71%

Total expected goals1.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 8% · Under 92%

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.29

Borta share of expected goals 29%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 13% · Nej 87%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Dalian Kewei

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
10
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
0.29
Dalian KeweiLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dalian Kewei signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 42%.

Match questions

Dalian Kewei vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Oavgjort · Projected score 1–0 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dalian Kewei vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 42%,Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.00 · Över 2.5 8% · Current selection Under