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CHN China Division 2 · Match ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger47%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger22%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
47% / 30% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (22.3%)Dubbelchans1X77.7%1.29
Över 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Ja 29% · Nej 71%Båda lagen gör målNej71%1.41
1.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapWenzhou FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guangdong Mingtu win47%2.131.9147.3%-0.3 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.0030.1%-0.1 pp
Wenzhou FC win22%4.554.0022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.05

Hemma share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 22% · Under 78%

Wenzhou FC0.58

Borta share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 29% · Nej 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.58
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu vunnen 47%,Oavgjort 30%,Wenzhou FC vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Över 2.5 22% · Current selection Under