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CHN China Division 2 · Trận đấu ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng47%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng22%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu78% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
47% / 30% / 22%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (22.3%)Cơ hội kép1X77.7%1.29
Tài 22% · Xỉu 78%Goals 2.5Xỉu78%1.28
Có 29% · Không 71%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông71%1.41
1.63 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapWenzhou FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guangdong Mingtu win47%2.131.9147.3%-0.3 pp
Hòa30%3.333.0030.1%-0.1 pp
Wenzhou FC win22%4.554.0022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.05

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 22% · Xỉu 78%

Wenzhou FC0.58

Khách share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 29% · Không 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Thắng probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.58
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu thắng 47%,Hòa 30%,Wenzhou FC thắng 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Tài 2.5 22% · Current selection Xỉu