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CHN China Division 2 · Meci ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde47%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub78% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
47% / 30% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wenzhou FC win (22.3%)Șansă dublă1X77.7%1.29
Peste 22% · Sub 78%Goals 2.5Sub78%1.28
Da 29% · Nu 71%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu71%1.41
1.63 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapWenzhou FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guangdong Mingtu win47%2.131.9147.3%-0.3 pp
Egal30%3.333.0030.1%-0.1 pp
Wenzhou FC win22%4.554.0022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.05

Gazde share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 22% · Sub 78%

Wenzhou FC0.58

Oaspeți share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 29% · Nu 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Wenzhou FC

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.58
Guangdong MingtuWenzhou FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wenzhou FC signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu câștig 47%,Egal 30%,Wenzhou FC câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Peste 2.5 22% · Current selection Sub