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CHN China Division 2 · Αγώνας ·

Guangdong Mingtu vs Γουενζού FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου47%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guangdong MingtuΓουενζού FC
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω78% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι71% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
47% / 30% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γουενζού FC win (22.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.7%1.29
Άνω 22% · Κάτω 78%Goals 2.5Κάτω78%1.28
Ναι 29% · Όχι 71%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι71%1.41
1.63 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapΓουενζού FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guangdong Mingtu win47%2.131.9147.3%-0.3 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.0030.1%-0.1 pp
Γουενζού FC win22%4.554.0022.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guangdong Mingtu1.05

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 22% · Κάτω 78%

Γουενζού FC0.58

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 29% · Όχι 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Guangdong Mingtu

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γουενζού FC

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.58
Guangdong MingtuΓουενζού FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guangdong Mingtu signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γουενζού FC signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Guangdong Mingtu vs Γουενζού FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guangdong Mingtu νίκη 47%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Γουενζού FC νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Άνω 2.5 22% · Current selection Κάτω