Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 33% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malveira win (32.6%)Double chanceX267.4%1.48
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Malveira win33%3.03
Draw33%3.03
CF Os Marialvas win35%2.86
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.7%
Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%
Away share of expected goals 51.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchMalveira
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCF Os Marialvas
LLDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
33%
Win probability excluding draw
35%2
Points from supplied form
50.96
Expected goals
1.01MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Malveira win 33%，Draw 33%，CF Os Marialvas win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.97 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under。