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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul33%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur35% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 33% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malveira win (32.6%)Double chanceX267.4%1.48
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 40% · Non 60%Les deux équipes marquentNon60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Malveira win33%3.03
Nul33%3.03
CF Os Marialvas win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Domicile share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

CF Os Marialvas1.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 40% · Non 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

CF Os Marialvas

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Os Marialvas signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira victoire 33%,Nul 33%,CF Os Marialvas victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de