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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Malveira vs C.F. Os Marialvas

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local33%
Empate33%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante35% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraC.F. Os Marialvas
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
33% / 33% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malveira win (32.6%)Doble OportunidadX267.4%1.48
Más de 32% · Menos de 68%Goals 2.5Menos de68%1.47
Sí 40% · No 60%Ambos equipos marcanNo60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Malveira win33%3.03
Empate33%3.03
C.F. Os Marialvas win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Local share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 32% · Menos de 68%

C.F. Os Marialvas1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

C.F. Os Marialvas

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraC.F. Os Marialvas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02C.F. Os Marialvas signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Malveira vs C.F. Os Marialvas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira ganada 33%,Empate 33%,C.F. Os Marialvas ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Más de 2.5 32% · Current selection Menos de