Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 28% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Maria da Fonte win34%2.942.7532.7%—
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%—
CD Celoricense win38%2.632.3039.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.2%
Total expected goals2.37Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%
Away share of expected goals 49.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.50pts / matchSC Maria da Fonte
WL
Played2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCD Celoricense
DWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
34%
Win probability excluding draw
38%3
Points from supplied form
91.19
Expected goals
1.18SC Maria da FonteCD Celoricense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
SC Maria da Fonte vs CD Celoricense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
SC Maria da Fonte win 34%，Draw 28%，CD Celoricense win 38%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.37 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under。