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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Fixture ·

AD Ovarense vs Uniao Lamas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw25%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD OvarenseUniao Lamas
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Uniao Lamas win (22.4%)Double chance1X77.6%1.29
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.42 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ovarense win53%1.891.6753.4%
Draw25%4.003.6024.8%
Uniao Lamas win22%4.554.1021.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ovarense1.49

Home share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Uniao Lamas0.93

Away share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AD Ovarense

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Uniao Lamas

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.49
Expected goals
0.93
AD OvarenseUniao Lamas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ovarense signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Uniao Lamas signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AD Ovarense vs Uniao Lamas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ovarense win 53%,Draw 25%,Uniao Lamas win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under