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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

SC Maria da Fonte vs CD Celoricense

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile34%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur38%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur38% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC Maria da FonteCD Celoricense
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
34% / 28% / 38%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Maria da Fonte win34%2.942.7532.7%
Nul28%3.573.2028.1%
CD Celoricense win38%2.632.3039.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Maria da Fonte1.19

Domicile share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

CD Celoricense1.18

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

SC Maria da Fonte

1.50pts / match
Joués2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

CD Celoricense

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gagné probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.19
Expected goals
1.18
SC Maria da FonteCD Celoricense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Maria da Fonte signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Celoricense signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

SC Maria da Fonte vs CD Celoricense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Maria da Fonte victoire 34%,Nul 28%,CD Celoricense victoire 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de