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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

SC Maria da Fonte vs CD Celoricense

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst38%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC Maria da FonteCD Celoricense
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 28% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Dubbele Kans1271.9%1.39
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Maria da Fonte win34%2.942.7532.7%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.1%
CD Celoricense win38%2.632.3039.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Maria da Fonte1.19

Thuis share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

CD Celoricense1.18

Uit share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

SC Maria da Fonte

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punten3

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Celoricense

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.19
Expected goals
1.18
SC Maria da FonteCD Celoricense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Maria da Fonte signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Celoricense signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

SC Maria da Fonte vs CD Celoricense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Maria da Fonte gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 28%,CD Celoricense gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder