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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

CF Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst28%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst42%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1CF Os MarialvasOliveira Hospital
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
28% / 30% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CF Os Marialvas win (27.9%)Dubbele KansX272.1%1.39
Boven 26% · Onder 74%Goals 2.5Onder74%1.35
Ja 34% · Nee 66%Beide teams scorenNee66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCF Os Marialvas winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Marialvas win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Oliveira Hospital win42%2.382.1541.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Marialvas0.75

Thuis share of expected goals 42.1%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 26% · Onder 74%

Oliveira Hospital1.03

Uit share of expected goals 57.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 34% · Nee 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CF Os Marialvas

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Oliveira Hospital

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.75
Expected goals
1.03
CF Os MarialvasOliveira Hospital
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Marialvas signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Oliveira Hospital signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

CF Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Marialvas gewonnen 28%,Gelijkspel 30%,Oliveira Hospital gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Boven 2.5 26% · Current selection Onder