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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Fixture ·

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw31%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 29%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Maipu win (29.3%)Double chance1X70.7%1.41
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CA Colegiales win39%2.56
Draw31%3.23
Deportivo Maipu win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.22

Home share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Deportivo Maipu0.92

Away share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maipu

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.22
Expected goals
0.92
CA ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Maipu signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales win 39%,Draw 31%,Deportivo Maipu win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under