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ARG Argentinien - Nacional B · Spiel ·

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 31% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Maipu win (29.3%)Doppelte Chance1X70.7%1.41
Über 36% · Unter 64%Goals 2.5Unter64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
CA Colegiales win39%2.56
Unentschieden31%3.23
Deportivo Maipu win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.22

Heim share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 36% · Unter 64%

Deportivo Maipu0.92

Auswärts share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maipu

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.22
Expected goals
0.92
CA ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Maipu signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 31%,Deportivo Maipu Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Über 2.5 36% · Current selection Unter