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ARG Argentina - Nacional B · Partita ·

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 31% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Maipu win (29.3%)Doppia Chance1X70.7%1.41
Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%Goals 2.5Sotto64%1.56
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
CA Colegiales win39%2.56
Pareggio31%3.23
Deportivo Maipu win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Colegiales1.22

Casa share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 36% · Sotto 64%

Deportivo Maipu0.92

Trasferta share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CA Colegiales

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maipu

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.22
Expected goals
0.92
CA ColegialesDeportivo Maipu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Colegiales signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Maipu signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Colegiales vinta 39%,Pareggio 31%,Deportivo Maipu vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Sopra 2.5 36% · Current selection Sotto