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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Fixture ·

Boluspor vs Manisa FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win17%
Draw24%
Away win60%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win60% selection probability
Projected score2–1BolusporManisa FK
Expected goals3.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 24% / 60%Match resultAway win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boluspor win (16.7%)Double chanceX283.3%1.20
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBoluspor winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boluspor win17%5.886.0015%+2.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.9023%+1.0 pp
Manisa FK win60%1.671.4562%-2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boluspor1.73

Home share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals3.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Manisa FK1.34

Away share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Boluspor

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Manisa FK

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Win probability excluding draw
60%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.73
Expected goals
1.34
BolusporManisa FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boluspor signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Manisa FK signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Boluspor vs Manisa FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boluspor win 17%,Draw 24%,Manisa FK win 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over