Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 24% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Double chance1276.4%1.31
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland FC Reserves win36%2.782.5035.8%+0.2 pp
Draw24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
East Coast Bays win41%2.442.2040.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.3%
Total expected goals3.29Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%
Away share of expected goals 51.7%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAuckland FC Reserves
LLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchEast Coast Bays
LWDLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
41%6
Points from supplied form
71.59
Expected goals
1.70Auckland FC ReservesEast Coast Bays
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Auckland FC Reserves vs East Coast Bays FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Auckland FC Reserves win 36%，Draw 24%，East Coast Bays win 41%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over。