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INT Nouvelle-Zélande - Northern League · Match ·

Auckland FC - Réserves vs East Coast Bays

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.29 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Auckland FC - RéservesEast Coast Bays
Expected goals3.29Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 24% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Double chance1276.4%1.31
Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%Goals 2.5Plus de64%1.56
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.29 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland FC - Réserves win36%2.782.5035.8%+0.2 pp
Nul24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
East Coast Bays win41%2.442.2040.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Auckland FC - Réserves1.59

Domicile share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals3.29Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%

East Coast Bays1.70

Extérieur share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Auckland FC - Réserves

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

East Coast Bays

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.59
Expected goals
1.70
Auckland FC - RéservesEast Coast Bays
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Auckland FC - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02East Coast Bays signalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Auckland FC - Réserves vs East Coast Bays FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Auckland FC - Réserves victoire 36%,Nul 24%,East Coast Bays victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Plus de 2.5 64% · Current selection Plus de