Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 22% / 22%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Double chance1278.4%1.28
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal win57%1.751.5758%—
Draw22%4.554.3321%—
Borussia Dortmund win22%4.554.3321%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.3%
Total expected goals2.65Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 37.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchArsenal
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBorussia Dortmund
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
22%9
Points from supplied form
61.65
Expected goals
1.00ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Arsenal win 57%，Draw 22%，Borussia Dortmund win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under。