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INT Emirates Cup · Partita ·

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa57%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite22%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
57% / 22% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Doppia Chance1278.4%1.28
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sotto50%2.00
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornerNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal win57%1.751.5758%
Pareggio22%4.554.3321%
Borussia Dortmund win22%4.554.3321%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal1.65

Casa share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Borussia Dortmund1.00

Trasferta share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Arsenal

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.65
Expected goals
1.00
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Borussia Dortmund signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal vinta 57%,Pareggio 22%,Borussia Dortmund vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sotto