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INT Emirates Cup · Meci ·

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde57%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nu corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
57% / 22% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Șansă dublă1278.4%1.28
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Sub50%2.00
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornereNu corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal win57%1.751.5758%
Egal22%4.554.3321%
Borussia Dortmund win22%4.554.3321%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal1.65

Gazde share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

Borussia Dortmund1.00

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Arsenal

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.65
Expected goals
1.00
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Borussia Dortmund signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal câștig 57%,Egal 22%,Borussia Dortmund câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Sub