Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
11% / 16% / 74%Match resultAway win74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (10.5%)Double chanceX289.5%1.12
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
3.79 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapAl-Nassr Riyadh winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Riyadh win11%9.098.0011.3%-0.3 pp
Draw16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Al-Nassr Riyadh win74%1.351.2572.3%+1.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 17.2%
Total expected goals3.79Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%
Away share of expected goals 82.8%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchAl Riyadh
LDWDW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAl-Nassr Riyadh
WLLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
11%
Win probability excluding draw
74%8
Points from supplied form
70.65
Expected goals
3.14Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Riyadh win 11%，Draw 16%，Al-Nassr Riyadh win 74%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.79 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over。