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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Fixture ·

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon Buraidah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw28%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al KholoodAl Taawon Buraidah
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 28% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Kholood win (25.8%)Double chanceX274.2%1.35
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Kholood win26%3.85
Draw28%3.57
Al Taawon Buraidah win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Kholood1.01

Home share of expected goals 37.4%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Al Taawon Buraidah1.69

Away share of expected goals 62.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Kholood

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Taawon Buraidah

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.01
Expected goals
1.69
Al KholoodAl Taawon Buraidah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Kholood signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Taawon Buraidah signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon Buraidah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Kholood win 26%,Draw 28%,Al Taawon Buraidah win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over