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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Fixture ·

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Shabab Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw26%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Al Khaleej SaihatAl Shabab Riyadh
Expected goals3.29Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Khaleej Saihat win40%2.50
Draw26%3.85
Al Shabab Riyadh win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Khaleej Saihat1.76

Home share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals3.29Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Al Shabab Riyadh1.53

Away share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Khaleej Saihat

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Shabab Riyadh

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.76
Expected goals
1.53
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Shabab Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Khaleej Saihat signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Shabab Riyadh signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al Shabab Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Khaleej Saihat win 40%,Draw 26%,Al Shabab Riyadh win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over