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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Kamp ·

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–33.79 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier11%
Uavgjort16%
Borteseier74%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier74% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.79Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
11% / 16% / 74%KampresultatBorteseier74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (10.5%)Dobbel sjanseX289.5%1.12
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
3.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapAl-Nassr Riyadh winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Riyadh win11%9.098.0011.3%-0.3 pp
Uavgjort16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Al-Nassr Riyadh win74%1.351.2572.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Riyadh0.65

Hjemme share of expected goals 17.2%

Total expected goals3.79Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Al-Nassr Riyadh3.14

Borte share of expected goals 82.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
11%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
74%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.65
Expected goals
3.14
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Riyadh signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Riyadh vunnet 11%,Uavgjort 16%,Al-Nassr Riyadh vunnet 74%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.79 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over