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INT Arabia Saudita - Pro League · Meci ·

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–33.79 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde11%
Egal16%
Victorie oaspeți74%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți74% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.79Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste73% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
11% / 16% / 74%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (10.5%)Șansă dublăX289.5%1.12
Peste 73% · Sub 27%Goals 2.5Peste73%1.37
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
3.79 total expected goalsScor corect1–3
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapAl-Nassr Riyadh winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Riyadh win11%9.098.0011.3%-0.3 pp
Egal16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Al-Nassr Riyadh win74%1.351.2572.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Riyadh0.65

Gazde share of expected goals 17.2%

Total expected goals3.79Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 73% · Sub 27%

Al-Nassr Riyadh3.14

Oaspeți share of expected goals 82.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
11%
Câștig probability excluding draw
74%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.65
Expected goals
3.14
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Riyadh signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Riyadh câștig 11%,Egal 16%,Al-Nassr Riyadh câștig 74%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.79 · Peste 2.5 73% · Current selection Peste