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INT Arabia Saudita - Pro League · Partita ·

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–33.79 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa11%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite74%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite74% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.79Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra73% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
11% / 16% / 74%Esito partitaVittoria ospite74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (10.5%)Doppia ChanceX289.5%1.12
Sopra 73% · Sotto 27%Goals 2.5Sopra73%1.37
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
3.79 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapAl-Nassr Riyadh winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Riyadh win11%9.098.0011.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Al-Nassr Riyadh win74%1.351.2572.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Riyadh0.65

Casa share of expected goals 17.2%

Total expected goals3.79Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 73% · Sotto 27%

Al-Nassr Riyadh3.14

Trasferta share of expected goals 82.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
11%
Vinta probability excluding draw
74%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.65
Expected goals
3.14
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Riyadh signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Riyadh vinta 11%,Pareggio 16%,Al-Nassr Riyadh vinta 74%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.79 · Sopra 2.5 73% · Current selection Sopra