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SCO Scotland League One · Round 1 ·

Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw26%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1AirdrieoniansEast Kilbride
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 26% / 32%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Airdrieonians win42%2.38
Draw26%3.85
East Kilbride win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Airdrieonians1.42

Home share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

East Kilbride1.21

Away share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Airdrieonians

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

East Kilbride

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.42
Expected goals
1.21
AirdrieoniansEast Kilbride
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Airdrieonians signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02East Kilbride signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Airdrieonians win 42%,Draw 26%,East Kilbride win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under